You know, I think it might be rigged.

I have been playing with an election forecasting calculator thingy. This one, the BBC have one which yields very similar results.

I poked in some numbers…..

Let’s say New labour, Conservatives and the Lib Dems all got the same number of votes and the rest got the same number they did last time. Well, this is what you get:

Results of split 2005 2001 +/- Change
New Labour 327 (30.2%) 403 (40.7%) -76 (-10.5%)
Conservative 177 (30.2%) 165 (31.7%) +12 (-1.5%)
Liberal Democrat 113 (30.2%) 51 (18.3%) +62 (+11.9%)
SNP 6 (1.8%) 4 (1.8%) +2 (0%)
Plaid Cymru 4 (0.7%) 4 (0.7%) – (0%)
Others 19 (6.8%) 19 (6.8%) – (0%)
This entry was written by Tim, posted on Thu Apr 28 2005 at 18:58, filed under Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink. Follow any comments here with the RSS feed for this post. Both comments and trackbacks are currently closed.

4 Comments

  1. Chris
    Posted Thu Apr 28 2005 at 20:19 | Permalink

    It could be argued that it would be a great result for socialists!!!!

  2. Tim
    Posted Thu Apr 28 2005 at 21:48 | Permalink

    Ten seats is a great result?

  3. Chris
    Posted Thu Apr 28 2005 at 21:59 | Permalink

    Well, it would give a new Labour majority of what, 8? So all it would take is 4 of the left winger labour MPs, I believe there are still some, to threaten to take down any piece of government legislation unless they got summat in return…..so I was thinking that a small majority would give the lefties a much much greater influence.

  4. Tim
    Posted Thu Apr 28 2005 at 22:04 | Permalink

    Are there 4 socialists left in New Labour? I thought they had all retired in disillusioned disgust, or defected to the Lib Dems?

    So that leaves ten Socialists. SNP (6) + PC (4) = 10 in the whole place, and I am not too sure about all of those?